EU Trade Deals Worth Billions: What Andy Burnham Plans

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Andy Burnham is set to announce multibillion-pound trade deals with the EU. According to The Guardian, agreements on agriculture, youth visas and pet passports are close to completion.

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Andy Burnham is expected to meet with Ursula von der Leyen, president of the European Commission, and António Costa, president of the European Council, in Brussels on November 20. Alongside the three agreements, the talks are expected to focus on a closer relationship between the United Kingdom and the European Union. Officials on both sides say the final text of all three agreements is nearly ready.

That makes the announcement particularly significant: according to The Guardian, this is no longer primarily about the start of negotiations. Officials say disputes over European industrial policy and British tuition fees are unlikely to derail the process. Some elements of the agreements, however, will not come into force until 2028.

The three planned agreements cover different areas. One is intended to make British agricultural trade with the EU easier, while another will regulate the UK's access to the European emissions trading system. The third is planned as a “youth experience scheme”, allowing young people to live, work and travel in both territories. Extensive pet-travel concessions form part of the agriculture agreement, rather than a separate fourth deal.

The Agriculture Agreement Opens New Trading Opportunities

More than £5 billion by 2040

According to The Guardian, the British government expects the agricultural component to have an economic value of more than £5 billion by 2040. British farmers should be able to sell their products more freely across the European continent. In return, British companies and travellers will no longer need a separate transport certificate for live animals, including pets. For domesticated animals, a pet passport is expected to replace the repeatedly required paperwork.

Some of the concessions do not concern animal products alone. The planned transition period will allow British manufacturers to continue selling certain products banned under EU law. The Guardian cites particular pesticides as an example. Trade in other products, including live mussels and Scottish salmon, is also expected to become easier.

This is the most tangible part of the package for people who buy British products or transport pets to Europe. The report does not specify what the concrete certificate and passport rules will look like or the date from which they will apply.

Youth Visas Could Open in Both Directions

Tens of thousands of people under 30

The planned “youth experience scheme” is explicitly intended for people under 30. The UK and EU would issue each other's visas, allowing young people to live, work and travel in the other country. The scheme is designed for tens of thousands of participants.

It was initially unclear how many young people would be accepted in each member state. According to the latest information available, each European country will receive its own quota. This is intended to spread the programme's benefits, as well as its potential costs, more widely. According to The Guardian, key details still need to be finalised.

In the event that a member state fails to issue its quotas, the UK is negotiating an emergency-brake mechanism. The number of that country's nationals permitted to travel to the UK could then be capped. This would make the mechanism reciprocal: a failure by Germany or France to issue visas could not only reduce demand for the UK, but also limit those countries' own citizens' ability to travel.

The Emissions Deal Will Cost Money but Bring a Border-Tax Reprieve

Billions of pounds for access to EU trade

Under the emissions trading agreement, the UK would pay the EU billions of pounds to retain access to its emissions trading system. According to The Guardian, this would allow the country to avoid a cross-border CO₂ tax coming into force in January.

Criticism focuses on precisely this aspect. Opponents argue that the UK would be subject to rules it sought to escape when leaving the EU. Burnham counters that the agreement could strengthen the British economy.

His estimate stands at £17 billion, an increase of 0.4 percent. In an interview with The Economist, he said: “An agreement could increase GDP by 0.4 percent. That is a number you cannot ignore.” The figure represents Burnham's political assessment of the package as a whole. The report lists it separately from the agricultural value of more than £5 billion by 2040.

A Closer EU Relationship With Open Negotiation Points

Tuition fees, Chinese electric cars and deportations

Alongside the three agreements, talks are already under way on a joint declaration on future cooperation on industrial policy and tuition fees. An EU draft envisages concluding negotiations on lower fees for European students within six months. The UK would therefore be willing to support universities with hundreds of millions of pounds if the EU gave the country access to the protectionist “Made in Europe” programme.

The EU draft describes the UK and the Union as “trusted partners”. The British government believes that this wording could make it possible to join “Made in Europe.” At the same time, European countries are demanding higher tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles, a policy that British ministers and businesses oppose. Other unresolved issues include a possible British contribution to the EU cohesion budget and the EU's desire to scrap the planned accelerated deportation programme for foreign criminal offenders in the UK.

Burnham also plans a major speech about the country's future role within the Union, potentially including a return to it. Downing Street says the timing would be around the summit, but the exact place in the schedule has not yet been decided. On Brexit, Burnham also stressed that he did not want to get ahead of public opinion: “The public must be in charge when it comes to what happens with Brexit.”

The three agreements would therefore be a concrete step towards a closer relationship with the EU. Agriculture and youth visas would directly affect everyday life, while the cost of emissions trading and political acceptance would be the central issue. Details of the agreements and Burnham's plans can be found in The Guardian's report.

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